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Cougarbyte frontline solver xlminer4/1/2024 ![]() ![]() ![]() I ended up buying historical data for my area before I could full test and answer this. This got me thinking- what if I had the actual weekly basis for my local market for just a year or two and combined that with the U of I regional levels reported for the same weeks? Could I use that period of concurrent data to calibrate a regression model to reasonably approximate many more years of historical basis for free? Perhaps I’m on the edge of two or three regions, I thought. On its own, I haven’t found any region in this dataset to be that accurate for my location. It provides historical basis and cash price data for 3 futures months in 7 regions of Illinois going back to the 1970s. One of the first resources I found in my quest to quantify the local basis market was this dataset from the University of Illinois.
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